Assessment of Performance Measures for Security of the Maritime Transportation Network. Port Security Metrics: Proposed Measurement of Deterrence Capability

摘要

The goal of this analysis is to provide ASCO and its customers with a comprehensive approach to the development of quantitative performance measures to assess security improvements to the port system and permit identification of existing security gaps. Such a capability will enable decision makers to assess, within a consistent framework, the merits of alternative security strategies and their subsequent implementation as investments in risk mitigation. The uncertainty of the operating environment results in a need for robust planning methods. This, in turn, requires flexibility in the management of risk, evidenced here by the relaxing of some of the usual assumptions concerning risk determination. In describing the suggested approach to enhance some MSRAM functions, the analysis adheres to Office of Management and Budget (OMB) guidance, particularly with respect to the creation of performance measures and program governance as described in OMB's Program Assessment Rating Tool (PART) process. The application of some recent developments in decision science to port security problems, specifically in the context of deterrence, permits the incorporation of uncertainty into an analysis characterized by a lack of historical information and thus dependent upon expert judgment.