China-India-Pakistan Water Crisis: Prospects for Interstate Conflict

摘要

This thesis examines the prospects of conflict caused by water scarcity in China, India, and Pakistan. The thesis uses indicators of water tensions, including water quality, water quantity, the management of water, state institutions, and national water philosophy. On its own, water shortages will unlikely be the only cause of regional conflict; however, water resources may be one catalyst of conflict or instability in the already fragile region. The indicators studied throughout this thesis continue to deteriorate and are anticipated to reach unacceptable levels by the year 2025. The current water dilemma in Asia increases the likelihood for regional conflict if practical solutions are not obtained.