Schedule Risk Event Driven Methodology (SREDM): FY13 Army Studies Program Project Findings.

摘要

AMSAA conducts independent schedule risk assessments to support Analysis of Alternatives (AoAs). AMSAA's current approach, Schedule Risk Data Decision Methodology (SRDDM), is predicated upon historical phase level analysis . As part of an Army Studies Program funded effort, AMSAA set out to enhance their schedule risk methodology through historical event level analysis. AMSAA developed a preliminary Schedule Risk Event Driven Methodology (SREDM) that utilizes historical event level data to determine a probability of phase completion within the scheduled time provided by the Program Manager (PM). A case study was performed using event data to demonstrate the feasibility of applying SREDM to an AoA. Future research topics include selecting analogous data and technical risk assessment integration.