A Statistical Test for Judging Missile Reliability from Test Flight Data

摘要

By an application of Bayes' theorem, a method was obtained for determining the optimum apportionment of effort (money) between the production of operational missiles and missile testing, including component and flight testing. The proper apportionment of money between component testing and flight testing was also described. The apriori distribution required for an application of Bayes' theorem was approximated by a committee judgement. (Author)