Cortex: A Computer-Based System for Aiding Decision Making

摘要

Decision theory is the contemporary manifestation of the mathematics of the decision process and thus can be viewed as a primary aid to the human decision process. The costs and gains of applying the concepts and algorithms of decision theory are considered in some detail. A man/ computer system is described which is designed to make the concepts and algorithms of decision theory available to a decision maker at a greatly reduced personal cost. This is achieved, in large part, by significantly reducing the special knowledge required of the decision maker. Thus, the decision maker needs no knowledge of computer programming and a minimal knowledge of decision theory and mathematics in order to begin using the system in his day-to-day decision making activities. (Author)