Adversarial Risk Analysis for Dynamic Network Routing

摘要

Route selection in hostile terrain is a problem in adversarial risk analysis (ARA). This report summarizes work done to date that addresses the routing problem from the perspective of decision analysis, which takes account of both asymmetric uncertainties and the strategy of an intelligent opponent. The methodology is novel, and usefully different from traditional game theory or risk analysis. The main results of this funding are (1) a paper that is under second review by 'Naval Research Logistics' and (2) presentations at a number of conferences and colloquia.