Predicting Emergency Medical Service Demand in a Rural Region.

摘要

The report presents a method of predicting Emergency Medical Service Demand by the use of models developed by a multivariate linear regression of historical ambulance run data against selected population and socioeconomic characteristics of a selected region. To utilize the models the population and socioeconomic characteristics are projected to the desired years and projected demand is then obtained from the models. The total demand can be subdivided into five categories of incidents to further increase the usefulness of the technique. Data from a test region produced models that showed very high correlation with the variables used and were acceptable at the five percent level.