How Does Emotion Influence Collaboration. - An Agent Based Simulation of the Dynamic of Confrontation

摘要

This is a report of a project to investigate the dynamics of interaction and conflicts among agents using drama theory in Citarum River basin problems. There are hundreds of agents involved in the conflict in the Citarum River Basin. These agents consist of central government agencies, provincial government agencies, city agencies / counties and villages, state- owned enterprises, NGOs at the regional level and NGOs at local level. There are many programs and proposals that have been produced through the repeated interactions and negotiations among these agents such as Citarum Bergetar program in 2001 and Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) program in 2008. However, since each agent has different interests, these programs and proposals cannot produce a significant impact on the improvement of Citarum River Basin conditions. Besides that, agent's emotion and learning also play important role in the interactions among agents, and affect the resolution of the conflict. To accomplish the research's aim, an agent-based model of confrontation based on drama theory, combined with emotional-state model (PAD) and learning models was constructed. The proposed model is able to describe negotiation process as repeated interactions among agents, in which the possible conflict resolutions are truly affected by agent's emotion and learning process. During the conflict phase the model is able to describe two types of dilemma of conflict i.e. persuasion and rejection dilemma. After the conflict has resolved, the model is able to describe the emergence of the dilemma of collaboration i.e. trust dilemma, among the agents.