Decision Analysis as an Element in an Operational Decision Aiding System (Phase IV).

摘要

This paper reports the results and status of continuing investigations to the Navy's operational decision environment. Focus has remained on the development of prototype decision aids in a computer-graphic form as an element of a larger command and control system serving the tactical support needs of operational commanders and their staffs. Several decision aid specifications as well as several software implementations have been developed. An initial prototype aid is designed to cope with uncertainty and employs probabilistic inference and multiple-value criteria. This prototype has been designated TACAID and is currently in a demonstration mode at the Project testbed.