Estimation of Pay Entry Base Date (PEBD) Enlisted Personnel Rating Force Structures from Total Active Federal Military Service (TAFMS) Data

摘要

The purpose of this research effort is to obtain and evaluate a mathematical technique to estimate PEBD rating force structure inventories from TAFMS force structure data. Exponential smoothing techniques were utilized to obtain estimates of TAFMS to PEBD rating inventory conversion factors. The data base studied consisted of all TAFMS and PEBD rating inventories for the period FY1971-1976. The obtained factors were then employed to estimate 30 June 1976 PEBD rating inventories from the corresponding 30 June 1976 TAFMS rating inventories. In this way, estimates of 96 PEBD rating inventories were obtained and compared to the actual PEBD inventory of the corresponding rate code. A statistical technique based upon exponential smoothing provides accurate PEBD rating and ALNAV force structure estimates.