The Forward and Adjoint Monte Carlo Estimation of the Kill Probability of a Critical Component Inside an Armored Vehicle by a Burst of Fragments

摘要

Alternate forms of the defining integral which predicts the kill probability of a critical component in a military vehicle by a burst of fragments have been derived. A brief outline of a general Monte Carlo solution of each form is given. The calculational advantages of applying each solution in a ballistic vulnerability methodology are noted. A hypothetical problem is devised and its solution is calculated using each method. The answers to the problem agreed within the calculated standard deviations.