A Method for Estimating the Probability of Damage from the Thermal Pulse of a Nuclear Detonation

摘要

This report presents a method for rapidly estimating the probability of damage of an item from the thermal pulse of a nuclear detonation. The results can be displayed either as probability as a function of range for a variety of yields or as a range-yield plot for a given probability. Examples are given, using data on the ignition of fabrics and of common outdoor combustibles. (Author)