Optimum Track Ship Routing (OTSR) Applications of the Tropical Cyclone Strike/Wind Probability Program

摘要

The Optimum Track Ship Routing (OTSR) Applications of Strike Probability (OASP) system of computer programs is described. This system utilizes a method of forecasting the probabilities of encountering 30 kt tropical cyclone winds in the western North Pacific Ocean based on the tropical cyclone warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), Guam, and the statistical analysis of historical tropical cyclone forecast errors. By applying this method of forecasting tropical cyclone wind probabilities, incorporating ship track evaluation and route generation algorithms, and including interactive and remote display capabilities, the OTSR personnel at the Fleet Numerical Oceanography Center, Monterey, California, and other users are provided with a unique approach to display, evaluation, and routing of ships threatened by tropical cyclones. (Author)