Offshore Installations and Their Relevance to the Coast Guard through the Next Twenty-Five Years. Volume I. Basic Report: Forecast of Offshore Installations and Their Implications to the Coast Guard

摘要

This three-volume study forecasts the universe of offshore installations (OSI) in waters proximate to U.S. territory out of the year 2005, and assesses the impact of the growth in numbers and types of these installations on the Coast Guard. Volume I describes the global, regional, national, and subnational forces operating to promote or inhibit the growth of the OSI universe; presents a forecast of the OSI universe resulting from the impact of these forces; describes the likely impact of this growth on the Coast Guard; suggests a set of alternative strategies that appear feasible and promising for the Coast Guard; and offers recommendations for the Coast Guard. Volume II presents detailed forecasts of a variety of categories of offshore installations related to energy, food, minerals, industrial expansion seaward, military and space, transportation, and science and technology. Volume III contains appendices for each of the key chapters of Volume II; the data and rationale supporting the forecasts of Volume II are presented. The conclusions of the study are summarized: By the year 2005 the population of oil and gas OSI will have expanded very significantly; OTEC installations will be a distant second; all other types of OSI will be a still farther distant third. The expansion of the OSI universe will increase the operating load on the Coast Guard enormously by the year 2005; there will be a strong need for decision to either expand Coast Guard capability or to reduce Coast Guard load.