Technology Scenario for the Year 2005. Volume II. Detailed Scenes for Scenarios

摘要

This two-volume study forecasts advances in science and technology and their implications to the Coast Guard to the year 2005. Implications include increasing demands for Coast Guard services, and expanding opportunities for the Coast Guard. Volume I describes the forces acting to promote or inhibit growth of science and technology; identifies potential areas in which the Coast Guard could make use of these advances; and describes a set of four 'scenarios' for the year 2005 depicting the potential operational uses of these advances. The central themes of these four scenarios are respectively: command and control, environmental protection, the effects of the impending water shortage in the U.S., and use of an advanced marine vehicle by the Coast Guard. Volume II presents detailed scenes in amplification of the scenarios of Volume I and includes an appendix with a list of references and bibliography. Conclusions: By the year 2005 offshore economic activities will have increased significantly with a concomitant increase in demand for Coast Guard services, particularly service as a law enforcement agency; frequently there will be a requirement for Coast Guard services well beyond 200 miles from the coast. The increase in demand for Coast Guard service can be met only with a quantum increase in Coast Guard capability--an increase which will be difficult to achieve in any foreseeable budget climate. U.S. national interest demands that Coast Guard capabilities be devoted to operational rather than regulatory functions, and that the center of gravity of Coast Guard operations be moved seaward, leaving state and local authorities responsible for the closer inshore activities.