首页> 美国政府科技报告 >The Keilson-Ross Procedure for Estimating Climatic Probabilities of Duration of Weather Conditions
【24h】

The Keilson-Ross Procedure for Estimating Climatic Probabilities of Duration of Weather Conditions

机译:Keilson-Ross程序估算天气条件持续时间的气候概率

获取原文

摘要

In a recent mathematical development the probability of the maximum of a continuous weather element, over a specified time interval, was computed analytically. As long as the weather condition is describable by a Markov (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) process, the time interval could be a duration of a few seconds to a few weeks. The analytical solutions provide corrections to previous probability estimates that had been made by Monte Carlo simulation. There still remains, however, the requirement for rapid solutions. The adaptation of this problem to modern computers makes use of cubic B-splines, and provides answers with a high degree of accuracy. (Author)

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号