Value Focused Thinking in Developing Aerobatic Aircraft Selection Model for Turkish Air Force.

摘要

The purpose of this research is to lessen the potential human errors by using decision analysis and cost analysis techniques. This research uses Value- Focused Thinking in conjunction with Multi-Objective Decision Analysis and Cost Analysis. It creates a decision-making model that allows decision makers to interact with analysts by specifying his/her objectives, values and preferences. On the other hand, cost analysis process determines cost effective alternatives. Alternatives are scored using 17 evaluation measures that are identified by interviews with the decision maker and stakeholders. Robustness of the model is tested by sensitivity analysis. Results of sensitivity analysis on current weights indicate that this model has robust results. Nevertheless, sensitivity analysis on cost indicates that many issues may influence the robustness of cost estimates and the best cost effective alternative.