Analytic Representation of the Target Acquisition Process in NUFAM (Nuclear Fire Planning and Assessment Model) III

摘要

This paper describes a method for determining the probability that a combat unit is acquired, available for fire by a nuclear weapon, is fired on, and is hit by a nuclear weapon. This method has been incorporated as part of the Nuclear Fire Planning and Assessment Model III (NUFAM III) used at the Concept Analysis Agency (CAA). The target acquisition data required are the Probability of Operational Target Acquisition (POTA) values generated by the CAA Target Acquisition Study III (TAS III). The basic approach used alternating renewal processes to represent the acquisition status and movement state of each unit in NUFAM III. Keywords: Tactical nuclear warfare; Mobile nuclear targets; Theater combat; Simulation models. (EDC)