Multiparameter Forecasting Techniques for the Marine Corps Officer Rate Generator

摘要

This thesis expands upon previous work in applying aggregation and shrinkagetechniques to Marine Corps officer attrition rate estimators. Attrition includes those leaving the service through retirement, resignation, discharge, disability or similar reasons. The Navy Personnel Research and Development Center (NPRDC), San Diego, California, recently terminated efforts in forecasting attrition through the Marine Corps Officer Rate Projector (MCORP). Decision Systems Associates, Inc. (DSAI), of Rockville, Maryland, has been granted the contract for future implementation of their forecasting Officer Rate Generator (ORG). Accurate forecasting of officer losses is extremely important to the manpower planner.