Programmer/Analyst Guide for the Army Unit Resiliency Analysis (AURA) ComputerSimulation Model. Volume 1. AURA Methodology

摘要

This, the first of a three volume report, presents the programmer/analyst with acomprehensive understanding of the methodologies which embody the Army Unit Resiliency Analysis (AURA) model. The approach taken was to progress from a general overview of the AURA model to a detailed description of the derivation, capability and primary algorithms for each AURA methodology. Throughout the report, a simple, hypothetical combat support unit is used as a 'working' example to describe the role of each methodology in the overall combat simulation process. In the mid 1970's, the U.S. Army analysis community was faced with the problem of quantifying the expected survival of certain combat capabilities in the event of a European war. The study team that was formed to address the problem consisted of 10-20 different agencies, with specialities ranging from signature and acquisition to vulnerability, unit structure and manpower. It was soon apparent that a major hurdle in producing an overall evaluation was the need to incorporate the widely different, highly detailed technical data into a coherent analysis. It was to fill this need that the large, integrated family of methodologies, known as AURA, was conceived. AURA, the Army Unit Resiliency Analysis methodology, is a large, interconnected collection of analysis models which provides a detailed evaluation of the ability of a military unit to accomplish a series of missions in a combat scenario. (kr)