New Issues and Tools for Future Military Analysis: A Workshop Summary.

摘要

Events in Central/Eastern Europe in the fall of 1989 and subsequent developments there as well as in Southwest Asia have dramatically undermined the basic assumptions underlying Western military planning and raised entirely new issues and questions from those of the past 40 years. These developments confront military analysis with not only new and different issues of a significantly wider scope in many cases, but also a new style of analysis capable of addressing the high degree of variability and uncertainty inherent in the new security environment. At the same time, advances in computer technology and the development of new software and analysis tool may help to somewhat mitigate the problems the analysis community is faced with. However, opinions differ regarding the magnitude of the challenge and approaches to meet it. To discuss and debate these issues a workshop, Future Military Analysis: New Issues, New Tools, was held on 8-10 May 1991 at RAND in Santa Monica. The proceedings are summerized in this this report.