Modeling Joint Theater Level Operations in the Early Entry Theater Level Model

摘要

This thesis investigates the capabilities of the Early Entry Theater Level Model(EETLM), a modified version of the Future Theater Level Model. It incorporates joint theater level operations within a dynamic decision making framework and a stochastic environment. This thesis includes a rationale of why a stochastic joint theater model is needed, a detailed description of the model's basic operations, and the enhancements and modifications which are required to incorporate joint operations. The development of measures of effectiveness, and their subsequent analysis, focus on the unique perception-based capabilities of EETLM and its ability to provide new insights to joint task force commanders. The analysis focuses on alternative force level/time combinations and their resultant differences in outcomes. Where results appeared counterintuitive, further investigations were conducted. These areas were either analyzed and documented or followed by brief descriptions of required future work for EETLM. EETLM successfully demonstrated its capability to incorporate joint theater level operations, however, the analysis indicates that some of the rudimentry algorithms and the current computational platform are limiting EETLM's capabilities.