Extrapolating Storm Location Using the Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS)Storm Motion Algorithm

摘要

Storm Motion (SM) is a planned initial Operational Capability (IOC) algorithm ofthe FAA's Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS). As currently designed, this algorithm will track the movement of storms/cells and convey this tracking information to the ITWS user by means of a graphic display of vectors (for direction) with accompanying numeric reports of storm speed, rounded to the nearest 5 nmi/hr increment. Recognizing that there are occasions when ITWS users could benefit from a more extended product format, Storm Extrapolated Position (SEP) was conceived to supplement the SM product and thereby increase its accessibility as a planning aid. This communication describes a prototype SEP design along with an analysis of its accuracy and observed performance during 1993 ITWS demonstrations in Orlando (FL) and Dallas (TX). Storm Motion, Extrapolation, Performance, Correlation, Tracking.