Retrospective estimation of the birth prevalence for delayed onset disorders: application to cystic fibrosis in Nova Scotia.

摘要

Maximum likelihood methods are used to estimate the birth prevalence, the age-at-diagnosis distribution, and the number of infants born with CF in Nova Scotia over a 20 year period. The data were taken from a registry of CF cases, and, because of the delayed onset of symptoms, some CF affected individuals were not diagnosed by the end of the study period. A goodness-of-fit test for assessing whether the age-at-diagnosis distribution is stable over the 20 years is provided. These methods could be applied equally well to data on any genetic disorder with delayed onset. Copyright 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.