IARPA targets unpredictability: Crowd-wisdom programs strengthen anticipatory intelligence

摘要

The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity is the intelligence community's high-risk, high-payoff science lab. It's here that researchers are testing out and evaluating futuristic technologies that can crowdsource arguments forecasting future events -- including potential cyberattacks -- secure manufacturing of computer parts or, notably, anticipate what traditionally could not be predicted: strategic surprise.