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Multi-Objective Decision Making under Uncertainty and Incomplete Knowledge of Designer Preferences

机译:不确定性和不完全了解设计师偏好的多目标决策

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摘要

Multi-attribute decision making and multi-objective optimization complement each other. Often, while making design decisions involving multiple attributes, a Pareto front is generated using a multi-objective optimizer. The end user then chooses the optimal design from the Pareto front based on his/her preferences. This seemingly simple methodology requires sufficient modification if uncertainty is present. We explore two kinds of uncertainties in this paper: uncertainty in the decision variables which we call inherent design problem (IDP) uncertainty and that in knowledge of the preferences of the decision maker which we refer to as preference assessment (PA) uncertainty. From a purely utility theory perspective a rational decision maker maximizes his or her expected multi attribute utility. We show how this is inherently inconsistent with providing the decision maker with alternatives on the Pareto Front unless the decision maker trades off attributes or some function thereof linearly. In this paper we propose a methodology, rooted in a set of axioms that can be used in conjunction with a modified Pareto Front to select the best design. We present our findings on a simple optimization problem involving two attributes.
机译:多属性决策和多目标优化是相辅相成的。通常,在做出涉及多个属性的设计决策时,会使用多目标优化器生成Pareto前沿。然后,最终用户根据自己的喜好从Pareto前端选择最佳设计。如果存在不确定性,这种看似简单的方法就需要进行充分的修改。我们在本文中探讨了两种不确定性:决策变量中的不确定性(我们称为固有设计问题(IDP)不确定性)和决策者的偏好知识中的不确定性(我们称为偏好评估(PA)不确定性)。从纯效用理论的角度来看,理性的决策者会最大化其预期的多属性效用。我们将展示这与在决策者在Pareto Front上提供替代方案本质上是不一致的,除非决策者线性地权衡属性或其某些功能。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于一组公理的方法,可以将其与改进的Pareto Front结合使用以选择最佳设计。我们提出了关于涉及两个属性的简单优化问题的发现。

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