On the Possibility of Forecasting the Long-Term Air Temperature Variability that Determines the Hydrophysical Structure and Ecology of the Black Sea Waters

摘要

Periods and amplitudes of long-term temperature fluctuations were obtained using the methods of spectral analysis and filtration of secular time series of the air temperature at 13 hydrometeorological stations in the Black Sea region.The prognostic calculations of the long-term air temperature variability are based on the results of processing of time series.The calculations of the air temperature agree with the data of observations.The possibility of the long-term air temperature variability prediction is shown.