East Asian growth experience revisited from the perspective of a neoclassical model

摘要

The business cycle accounting "wedge" methodology is used to identify the mechanisms driving the rapid growth of Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan since 1966. Analysis with a neoclassical growth model reveals that growth in these economieshas been sustained by different mechanisms at different stages of development. Factor accumulation, which arises primarily from increases in capital wedges, accounts for most of the rapid growth in the earlier stages. However, in the later stages, totalfactor productivity growth becomes the primary driver.