IN YOUR SLEEP you can name 10 reasons 2013 will be lousy for business and the economy. So can I. But analyzing only the downside is a bad habit; missing a boom is at least as dangerous as missing a bust. So let's imagine the good-news scenario that absolutely no one is talking about. Is it likely? I dunno. Plausible? Absolutely. Here's what gets us to a 4% growth rate, rising incomes, and low unemployment by year-end: The revolution in American oil and gas increasingly spreads its benefits through the economy. Our crude-oil production, after declining for the past 20 years, is suddenly rocketing and will keep doing so for the rest of the decade, says the Energy Information Administration's just-released outlook. Natural-gas production will boom for at least the next three decades. A resulting industrial renaissance is already under way. Chemical and plastics makers-Dow, Mitsubishi, and others - are building new plants around the country, a stunning turnaround for an industry that has been shutting U.S. plants for years. The Timken Co. is expanding a mill in Ohio to make specialty steels for the oil and gas industry. Railroads are adding cars to haul the rising output of many industries. Best of all, much of the new production will be exported - shrinking our trade deficit and bringing jobs and GDP growth to the U.S.
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机译：在您的睡眠中，您可以说出2013年对商业和经济不利的10个原因。我也可以。但是，仅分析不利因素是一种坏习惯。错过繁荣至少与错过萧条一样危险。因此，让我们想象一下绝对没有人在谈论的好消息。有可能吗我不知道。合理吗？绝对。到年底，这就是使我们达到4％的增长率，收入增加和低失业率的原因：美国石油和天然气革命越来越多地通过经济传播其利益。美国能源信息署（Energy Information Administration）刚刚发布的展望报告说，在过去20年下降之后，我们的原油产量突然猛增，并将在接下来的十年中保持这种趋势。至少在接下来的三十年中，天然气的生产将蓬勃发展。随之而来的工业复兴已经开始。化学和塑料制造商-陶氏（Dow），三菱（Mitsubishi）和其他制造商-在全国各地建立新工厂，对于已经关闭美国工厂多年的行业来说，这是一个惊人的转变。铁姆肯公司（Timken Co.）正在俄亥俄扩展工厂，生产用于石油和天然气行业的特种钢。铁路正在增加汽车以拖累许多行业的产出增长。最重要的是，许多新产品将出口-缩小我们的贸易赤字并为美国带来就业机会和GDP增长。
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