Coarse Grains

摘要

FAO's forecast for world coarse grain output has been raised significantly again since the previous report, to 1 013 million tonnes, 8.5 percent up from last year and by far the largest output on record. Further upward revisions for the United States contributed a large part to the latest increase but also, better-than-expected yields became evident in China, several European countries and Mexico as their harvests progressed in the past two months. In Far East Asia, the 2004 aggregate coarse grains production is forecast higher than last year's good level. In China, harvesting of the main crops is complete and yields turned out to be better than earlier expected. The country's aggregate coarse grains crop is now estimated at 141 million tonnes, 11.6 percent up from the previous year reflecting increased plantings and favourable weather. Harvesting is underway in India, where a prolonged dry spell in western and northern parts of the country has limited crop potential Aggregate output in 2004 is forecast at 33.5 million tonnes, which would be 3.5 percent down from last year. A good crop was harvested in the Philippines, well up from the 2003 output and planting of the crops for harvest in the spring 2005 is underway. In the Asian CIS subregion, the 2004 aggregate coarse grains production is estimated at 3.7 million tonnes, down by about 17 percent from 2003 reflecting the effect of adverse weather in Kazakhstan, the main producer.