A Simple Modelling System to Forecast Tropospheric ozone concentrations

摘要

This study reports the development of a simple, operational modelling system to forecast surface ozone concentrations. The model consists of 3 modules corresponding to meteorological, emission and photochemical models linked by a program written in Visual Fortran. The system was applied during later spring-summer 2003 and 2004 in different areas of Catalonia, in north-east Spain. Accuracy in predicting maximum daily ozone concentration was between 15 and 20 μgm-3, while there was a tendency to overestimate, which ranged from 0.5 to 7 μgm-3.