DYNAMICS AND PREDICTABILITY OF HIGH-IMPACT WEATHER AND CLIMATE EVENTS

摘要

T here is increasing interest in the links between large-scale atmospheric dynamics and highimpact weather and climate events. Improving our understanding of weather predictability and dynamical processes is vital to improving forecasts of severe weather events and a key part of the international World Weather Research Programme– The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (WWRP-THORPEX) program. Similarly, our understanding of climate dynamics is vital for improving predictions of extreme climate events and a key part of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) program. As Earth’s climate changes over the coming years, the likelihood of extreme weather events will change most when natural and anthropogenic effects combine.