Model choice in multicriteria decision aid

摘要

The purpose of this paper is to illustrate, using a real case study, one of the points stressed in the "Manifesto of the new Multi Criteria Decision Aid (MCDA) era" (Bouyssou et al., 1993) regarding the application of the basic theory of MCDA procedures. Although the great diversity of MCDA procedures may be seen as a strong point, it can be a weakness, and a systematic analysis of decision procedures if one method makes more sense than another for a specific problem is necessary. The problem of selecting the most appropriate (MCDA) technique for a particular application is in itself a MCDA problem since the decision making criteria used for the selection are different and conflicting in nature. In this paper three selection models are implemented to assist the system analyst, when confronted with a multi-objective decision problem, to select the most appropriate MCDA technique for application to the problem of optimal ranking of water development projects in an arid country. These models are developed by Deason (1984), Gershon (1981), and Tecle (1988). Results indicated that PROMETHEE was the most preferred method for this problem.