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Silver clouds on the horizon for the U.S.

机译:美国地平线上的银云

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摘要

A late-August report from the nonpartisan Population Reference Bureau had good news for the United States. The United States, it turns out, is the only major economic power that is producing enough children to keep the size of its work force constant relative to the size of its population as that population ages. That portends continued prosperity for the United States, the annual report concluded. Meanwhile, China, which is generally seen as a significant economic threat to the economic and military supremacy of the United States, is facing a serious aging problem because of limits its government has placed on fertility as a social tool for the country's long-term benefit. Now, it appears that government policy may backfire, and give China the distinction of becoming the first large economic power to have its population grow old before it gets the opportunity to become rich - despite the country's current rapid rate of growth.
机译:无党派人口参考局8月底的报告对美国来说是个好消息。事实证明,美国是唯一能够生产足够的儿童,以使其劳动力规模相对于人口老龄化保持恒定的主要经济力量。年度报告总结说,这预示着美国的持续繁荣。同时,通常被视为对美国经济和军事至上地位构成重大经济威胁的中国,正面临严重的老龄化问题,原因是中国政府限制将生育率作为该国长期利益的社会工具而受到限制。 。现在看来,政府政策可能适得其反,并给中国带来了这样的区别:尽管中国目前的快速增长速度,但它却成为了第一个在有机会致富之前使人口老龄化的大型经济大国。

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