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Study on a hypothetical replacement of nuclear electricity by wind power in Sweden

机译:瑞典假设用风能替代核电的研究

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The Swedish electricity supply system benefits strongly from the natural conditions which allow a high share of hydroelectricity. A complete supply is, however, not possible. Up to now, nuclear power is the other workhorse to serve the country with electricity. Thus, electricity production of Sweden is basically CO2-free and Sweden has reached an environmental status which others in Europe plan to reach in 2050. Furthermore, there is an efficient exchange within the Nordic countries, Nordpol, which can ease possible capacity problems during dry cold years. In this study we investigate to what extent and with what consequences the base load supply of nuclear power can be replaced by intermittent wind power. Such a scenario leads unavoidably to high wind power installations. It is shown that hydroelectricity cannot completely smooth out the fluctuations of wind power and an additional back-up system using fossil fuel is necessary. From the operational dynamics, this system has to be based on gas. The back-up system cannot be replaced by a storage using surplus electricity from wind power. The surplus is too little. To overcome this, further strong extension of wind power is necessary which leads, however, to a reduction of the use of hydroelectricity if the annual consumption is kept constant. In this case one fossil-free energy form is replaced by another, however, more complex one. A mix of wind power at 22.3GW plus a gas based back-up system with 8.6GW producing together 64.8TWh would replace the present infrastructure with 9GW nuclear power producing 63.8TWh electricity. The specific CO2-emission increases to the double in this case. Pumped storage for the exclusive supply of Sweden does not seem to be a meaningful investment.
机译:瑞典的电力供应系统受益于自然条件,自然条件允许水力发电的比例很高。但是,无法完全供应。到目前为止,核电是为该国提供电力服务的另一主力军。因此,瑞典的电力生产基本上是无二氧化碳的,瑞典已经达到了欧洲其他国家计划在2050年达到的环境状态。此外,北欧国家Nordpol进行了有效的交换,可以缓解干燥期间可能出现的容量问题寒冷的岁月。在这项研究中,我们研究了间歇性风能可以替代核能基本负荷供应的程度和后果。这样的情况不可避免地导致高风能设备。结果表明,水力发电无法完全消除风电的波动,因此需要使用化石燃料的附加备用系统。从运行动态来看,该系统必须基于气体。备用系统不能由使用风力发电剩余电量的存储设备代替。盈余太少。为了克服这个问题,必须进一步大力扩大风力发电,但是,如果保持年消耗量不变,则会减少水力发电的使用。在这种情况下,一种无化石能源形式将被另一种形式取代,但更为复杂。 22.3GW的风力发电加上8.6GW的天然气备用系统将产生64.8TWh的电力,将取代9GW核电产生63.8TWh的电力。在这种情况下,特定的二氧化碳排放量增加了一倍。瑞典独家供应的抽水蓄能似乎并不是一项有意义的投资。

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