Expanding the range of possibility: Exploring the uncertainty in projecting ozone-related health effects of climate change

摘要

Shifts in concentrations of ground-level ozone (O_3) are one of the projected outcomes of climate change, although estimates of the magnitudes, locations, and impacts of these shifts vary. A team of researchers assessed several prediction scenarios of climate change between 2000 and 2050 to see how different modeling choices affect estimates of O_3-related human health effects .The goal of this study was to explore the extent of the uncertainty that surrounds different modeling choices.