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Assessing climate change impacts on open sandy coasts: A review

机译:评估气候变化对开放沙质海岸的影响:回顾

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摘要

The world's coastlines are shaped by mean sea level, wave conditions, storm surge, and riverfiows. Climate change (CC) driven variations in these environmental forcings will inevitably have a profound effect on the coastal zone. Given the continued growth of coastal communities and extremely high value of coastal assets worldwide, effective adaptation measures underpinned by reliable coastal CC impact assessments are essential to avoid massive future coastal zone losses. This review aims to promote the adoption of best practice in local scale assessments of potential physical impacts of CC on open sandy coasts by (a) summarising the potential first order physical impacts of CC, (b) suggesting a standard modelling framework for local scale CC impact assessments, (c) identifying future research needs to facilitate the effective implementation of the prescribed modelling framework, (d) suggesting ways to address the identified research needs, and (e) discussing how existing methods/tools may be used for CC impact assessments until more advanced methods/tools are developed. (C) 2016 The Author. Published by Elsevier B.V.
机译:世界的海岸线受平均海平面,海浪条件,风暴潮和河流的影响。这些环境强迫中由气候变化(CC)驱动的变化将不可避免地对沿海地区产生深远影响。鉴于沿海社区的持续增长和全世界沿海资产的极高价值,可靠的沿海CC影响评估所支撑的有效适应措施对于避免未来大规模的沿海地区损失至关重要。这项审查旨在通过(a)总结CC的潜在一阶物理影响,(b)提出针对地方CC的标准建模框架,促进在CC对裸露的沙质海岸的CC潜在物理影响的本地规模评估中采用最佳实践。影响评估;(c)识别未来的研究需求以促进有效执行规定的建模框架;(d)建议解决已确定的研究需求的方法;以及(e)讨论如何将现有方法/工具用于CC影响评估直到开发出更高级的方法/工具。 (C)2016作者。由Elsevier B.V.发布

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