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Discounting Behaviour and the Magnitude Effect: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Denmark

机译:贴现行为和幅度效应:丹麦现场实验的证据

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摘要

We evaluate the claim that individuals exhibit a magnitude effect in their discounting behaviour, where higher discount rates are inferred from choices made with lower principals, all else being equal. If the magnitude effect is quantitatively significant, it is not appropriate to use one discount rate that is independent of the scale of the project for cost-benefit analysis and capital budgeting. Using data from a field experiment in Denmark, we find statistically significant evidence of a magnitude effect that is much smaller than is claimed. This evidence surfaces only if one controls for unobserved individual heterogeneity in the population.
机译:我们评估了这样一种说法,即个人在其折价行为中表现出规模效应,即从较低本金做出的选择中推断出较高的折现率,其他所有条件都相同。如果规模效应在数量上是显着的,则不宜使用一种与项目规模无关的折现率进行成本效益分析和资本预算。使用丹麦现场实验的数据,我们发现了数量级影响远小于要求的统计显着证据。仅当一个控制群体中未观察到的个体异质性的证据浮出水面。

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