Development of a Diplomatic, Information, Military, Health, and Economic Effects Modeling System

摘要

Having a clear picture of different facets of the current situation is key in the conduct of tactical operations within a theater. To this end, the ensemble application of sentic computing and intention awareness techniques is hereby examined to develop a novel analysis framework for estimating the effects of diplomatic, informational, military, health, and economic activities in the context of a theater of operations. A set of candidate models of the flow and evolution of population beliefs and intentions is evaluated and recommended as the starting point for developing an effects modeling system for tactical commanders. In particular, the following needs were identified: (1) understanding and representing the underlying causality within the population; (2) formulating models that are both sensitive and computable; (3) validating the predictions of population beliefs, intentions, and behaviors by model.