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A new tree-ring-based summer temperature reconstruction over the last three centuries for east-central Europe

机译:过去三个世纪以来,中东欧地区新的基于树轮的夏季温度重建

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Tree rings and documentary evidence are the most important palaeoclimatic archives with annual resolution that continuously span several centuries. Despite this benefit, local to regional-scale temperature reconstructions and their spatial signatures tend to be irregularly distributed, and the appropriate extent of low-frequency variability captured in these proxy records remains uncertain. Here, the first summer temperature reconstruction from the Czech Sudetes Mountains that extends to 1700 AD was introduced. An ensemble reconstruction approach using 251 new high-elevation spruce ring width samples suggests particularly cold June-July temperatures at the beginning of the 18th century, in the 1740s and around 1820. Markedly warm conditions occurred in the 1790s and during the most recent decades. The reconstructed decadal summer temperature amplitude from Little Ice Age Cooling' to Recent Anthropogenic Warming' ranges from -3.5 degrees C between 1700 and 1710 to 1.3 degrees C in 1999-2009, with respect to the 1961-1990 mean climatology. Comparison of our new reconstruction with existing tree-ring chronologies from the Alps reveals a significant level of coherency that is much higher than the agreement with geographically closer documentary evidence from Central Europe. Our study confirms the importance of independent regional climate reconstructions, which capture the full range of past variability and also fill spatial gaps in large-scale networks.
机译:树木年轮和文献证据是最重要的古气候档案,其年度分辨率持续跨越几个世纪。尽管有这种好处,但局部到区域尺度的温度重建及其空间特征往往不规则分布,并且在这些代理记录中捕获的低频变化的适当程度仍然不确定。在这里,引入了从捷克苏德特山脉到1700年的第一次夏季温度重建。使用251个新的高海拔云杉环宽度样本的整体重建方法表明,在18世纪初,1740年代和1820左右,六月至七月的温度特别低。1790年代和最近几十年出现了明显的温暖状况。相对于1961-1990年的平均气候,从小冰期降温到最近的人为变暖的十年年代际夏季温度幅度在1700年至1710年的-3.5摄氏度到1999-2009年的1.3摄氏度之间。将我们的新重建项目与阿尔卑斯山现有的树年轮年代进行比较,可以发现其高度连贯性远高于与中欧在地理上更近的文献证据所达成的协议。我们的研究证实了独立的区域气候重建的重要性,它可以捕捉过去变化的全部范围,并填补大型网络中的空间空白。

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