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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society >Inter-annual and inter-decadal variability of dry days in Argentina
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Inter-annual and inter-decadal variability of dry days in Argentina

机译:阿根廷干旱天的年际和年代际变化

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摘要

This work proposes to employ the number of dry days (days without precipitation) as a variable of study, and to analyse their spatial and temporal variability in Argentina. Climatological aspects of dry days, such as their annual mean values and its seasonal cycle, were discussed and compared with precipitation features in the country. Linear trends in the annual number of dry days (ANDD) were identified for the period 1960-2005. Most of the regions exhibited decreasing trends, but few stations showed significant ones. The most important trends were present in the Central-West region and over the Patagonian coast and their magnitudes indicated a decrease of two to six dry days per decade. These trends coincide with the observed increase of accumulated precipitation in part of the country during the second half of the 20th century. To identify long-term fluctuations in the ANDD, a low pass filter, a wavelet analysis and a cubic polynomial fit was applied to the longest time series of the selected locations. Through these methodologies, periodicities were identified in the inter-annual and inter-decadal ranges for the last 80 years. The most important significant cycles were observed in the range of 10-24 years, but also, depending on the region, significant inter-annual variations were found.
机译:这项工作建议采用干旱天数(无降水天数)作为研究变量,并分析其在阿根廷的时空变化。讨论了干旱日的气候方面,例如其年平均值和季节周期,并将其与该国的降水特征进行了比较。确定了1960-2005年期间的年度干旱天数(ANDD)的线性趋势。大多数地区都呈现下降趋势,但很少有站位表现出明显趋势。最重要的趋势出现在中西部地区和整个巴塔哥尼亚海岸,其强度表明每十年减少2至6个干旱天。这些趋势与在20世纪下半叶观察到的该国部分地区的累积降水增加相吻合。为了确定ANDD中的长期波动,将低通滤波器,小波分析和三次多项式拟合应用于所选位置的最长时间序列。通过这些方法,可以确定过去80年的年际和年代际范围的周期性。在10至24年的范围内观察到了最重要的重要周期,但是,根据区域的不同,发现了重要的年际变化。

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