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Internet public opinion on climate change: a world views analysis of online reader comments

机译:互联网舆论对气候变化的看法:世界观对在线读者评论的分析

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Purpose - The purpose of the study was to assess the representation of different world views with respect to climate change in public opinion on the internet.Design/methodology/approach - The authors conducted this world views analysis by means of a content analysis of publicly expressed opinions in the form of online lay reader comments to articles on climate change, published on Dutch newspaper web sites between August 2002 and December 2009. The comments were assigned to the world views of two typologies commonly used in ex ante assessment of climate policies. The classification of an online reader comment was based on world view specific keywords and positions on climate change.Findings - From a set of 2,148 comments to 168 articles found on the web sites of 19 newspapers, 314 comments could be assigned to a particular world view. For both typologies, the distribution of comments over the different world views was highly uneven, with world views characterized as "climate sceptic" scoring more than 90 per cent of the assigned comments. The strong dominance of these "climate sceptic" world views was independent of year, newspaper, and scope of the article. Practical implications- These findings are in stark contrast with the outcomes of public opinion surveys indicating that only a minority of the population has a preference for a "climate sceptic" world view. The most plausible explanation for this difference is that the contributors of online reader comments are not representative for the Dutch population at large. However, as internet-based opinions have a proven potential to strongly influence the opinion of the general public and politicians on climate change, the authors advise analysts to pay due attention to "climate sceptic" world views in ex ante assessment of the societal support for climate policies.Originality/value - For a world views analysis, the study is unique both in its focus on internet public opinion and the data source used.
机译:目的-该研究的目的是评估互联网上舆论对气候变化的不同世界观的表示。设计/方法/方法-作者通过对公开表达的内容进行分析,对世界观进行了分析在线意见的形式是在2002年8月至2009年12月期间在荷兰报纸网站上发表的关于气候变化文章的在线非专业读者评论。这些评论被分配给事前评估气候政策常用的两种类型的世界观。在线阅读者评论的分类基于特定于世界观的气候变化关键词和立场。发现-从一组2148条评论到在19家报纸的网站上找到的168条文章,可以将314条评论分配给特定的世界观。对于这两种类型,评论在不同的世界视图中的分布非常不均匀,特征为“气候怀疑论”的世界视图占分配的评论的90%以上。这些“气候怀疑论者”世界观的主要统治地位与年份,报纸和文章范围无关。实际意义-这些发现与民意调查的结果形成鲜明对比,后者表明只有少数人口倾向于“气候怀疑论”世界观。对于这种差异的最合理的解释是,在线读者评论的贡献者并不代表整个荷兰人口。然而,由于基于互联网的观点已被证明具有极大地影响公众和政界人士对气候变化的观点的潜力,因此作者建议分析人员在事前评估社会对气候变化的支持时,应适当关注“气候怀疑论者”的世界观点。气候政策。原创性/价值-对于世界范围的分析,该研究在关注互联网民意和使用的数据源方面均独一无二。

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