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Development strategy and trade liberalization: implications for poverty and environment in the Philippines

机译:发展战略和贸易自由化:对菲律宾贫困和环境的影响

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摘要

Poverty and environmental degradation or deforestation in developing countries have common determinants in underlying economic and institutional conditions that determine factor and product prices and incentives for migration and resource-depleting activities. These determinants include property rights failures (open access to forest lands) but also 'government failures' in the form of policies that indirectly promote resource use and retard poverty alleviation. A general equilibrium analysis identifies influences that such distortions have on poverty and environment. Using a numerical GE model, we consider likely effects of Philippine trade policy reforms of the 1990s on determinants of poverty, deforestation, and agricultural land expansion. These reforms marked a significant shift away from the import substitution industrialization strategy that characterized post-independence Philippine development. The results suggest that though reforms would increase poverty in the short term, in the longer run trade liberalization is poverty reducing. The environmental impact can also be positive, provided liberalized trade is combined with appropriate government action to address market failures.
机译:发展中国家的贫困和环境退化或毁林在决定要素和产品价格以及移徙和资源枯竭活动的激励措施的基本经济和体制条件方面具有共同的决定因素。这些决定因素包括产权失灵(林地开放使用权),但也包括间接促进资源利用和延缓减贫政策形式的“政府失灵”。一般均衡分析确定了这种扭曲对贫困和环境的影响。使用GE数值模型,我们考虑了1990年代菲律宾贸易政策改革对贫困,森林砍伐和农业用地扩张的决定因素的可能影响。这些改革标志着从菲律宾独立后发展所特有的进口替代工业化战略的重大转变。结果表明,尽管改革在短期内会增加贫困,但从长远来看,贸易自由化正在减少贫困。如果贸易自由化与政府采取适当的行动来解决市场失灵问题,对环境的影响也可能是积极的。

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