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Types and tokens in road accident causation

机译:道路交通事故因果关系中的类型和标记

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Accidents are preceded by long histories containing multitudes of events that constitute promising targets for preventive action. These antecedent events can be classified into at least four groups that occur in this order: failure types; psychological precursors; unsafe acts; and breakdown of defences. It is argued that events directly preceding an accident, such as breakdown of defences and unsafe acts, are only haphazard tokens of the more permanent weaknesses within a system, called failure types. Elimination of a type will therefore have much more impact than the elimination of one or a few tokens. It is also argued that there exist only a limited number of failure types, which are responsible for all accidents. However, in the specific area of road accidents, it is not known which types cause most of the problems. Therefore, their relative importance can only be guessed. We guessed that hardware problems and maintenance are unimportant types; that education and regulations are of moderate importance; and that incompatible goals, conditions promoting unsafe behaviour, and organizational inadequacy are the types that cause most of the accidents. The latter therefore constitute the most promising targets for accident prevention.
机译:事故发生之前有很长的历史,其中包含许多事件,这些事件构成了预防行动的有希望的目标。这些先行事件至少可以分为四组,按此顺序发生:故障类型;心理前兆;不安全行为;以及防御的崩溃。有人认为,事故发生前的直接事件,例如防御措施的崩溃和不安全的行为,只是系统内更持久的弱点的偶然象征,称为故障类型。因此,消除一种类型将比消除一个或几个标记产生更大的影响。也有人认为,只有有限数量的故障类型,这些故障类型是所有事故的罪魁祸首。然而,在道路交通事故的特定领域,尚不清楚哪种类型导致了大多数问题。因此,它们的相对重要性只能猜测。我们猜测硬件问题和维护是不重要的类型;教育和法规具有中等重要性;不相容的目标、助长不安全行为的条件和组织不足是导致大多数事故的类型。因此,后者是预防事故的最有希望的目标。

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