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Managing a Low‐Incidence Risk: The Example of Toxic Shock Syndrome

机译:管理低发生率风险:中毒性休克综合征的例子

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摘要

This article demonstrates a methodology that allows individuals to reach a personal decision on the use of products which carry very small risks to health and life but also offer considerable benefits. A combination of the principles of dominance, extended dominance, and various methods of direct risk–benefit tradeoffs are shown to reduce the number of possible decisions regarding product use to the one optimal for the value structure of a particular individual. An historical examination of toxic‐shock syndrome identifies tampons as a product with risks too small to warrant public intervention but too sizeable to be ignored. The methodology described here can be applied for all such produ
机译:本文演示了一种方法,该方法允许个人就产品的使用做出个人决定,这些产品对健康和生命的风险非常小,但也提供了相当大的好处。研究显示,支配原则、扩展支配原则和各种直接风险收益权衡方法的结合,可以将有关产品使用的可能决策数量减少到对特定个体的价值结构最优的决策。对中毒性休克综合征的历史记录表明,卫生棉条是一种风险太小而无法保证公共干预但又太大而不容忽视的产品。这里描述的方法可以应用于所有这样的产品。

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