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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of the American Water Resources Association >A HYDROCLIMATIC APPLICATION STRATEGY FOR THE POISSON PARTIAL DURATION MODEL1
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A HYDROCLIMATIC APPLICATION STRATEGY FOR THE POISSON PARTIAL DURATION MODEL1

机译:泊松部分持续时间模型的水文气候应用策略1

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ABSTRACT:A strategy for formulating and testing the Poisson partial duration extreme value model is presented. The procedure is demonstrated using recorded Streamflow series from a humid subtropical region of the southern United States. The observed data series are partitioned by climatic causes and tested for both the Poisson assumption and the validity of the exponential as marginal distributions. Several statistical tests are utilized in making these determinations. Some important aspects of the model as applied to humid climates are demonstrated. It was found that a majority of Streamflow series could be represented by the model and that significant differences do exist between the arrival structures of floods resulting from different climatic mechanisms. However, these differences generally do not exist in the distribution of the flood magnitudes. In addition, it is possible that model validity is restricted by drainage basin size.
机译:摘要:提出了一种泊松部分持续时间极值模型的制定和检验策略。该过程使用来自美国南部潮湿亚热带地区的记录的 Streamflow 系列进行演示。观测到的数据序列按气候原因进行划分,并检验泊松假设和指数作为边际分布的有效性。在做出这些决定时使用了几种统计测试。演示了该模型应用于潮湿气候的一些重要方面。结果发现,该模型可以表示大多数径流系列,并且不同气候机制导致的洪水到达结构之间存在显著差异。然而,这些差异通常在洪水震级的分布中不存在。此外,模型有效性可能受到流域大小的限制。

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