Impact of COVID-19 interventions on electricity power production: An empirical investigation in Kuwait

摘要

This paper investigates the impact of various COVID-19 containment measures on electricity power production in the State of Kuwait. Using longitudinal archival data from 2015 to 2020 and advanced regression analysis, the paper compares post-pandemic electricity production levels to pre-pandemic levels under various post-pandemic lockdown scenarios (ranging from no lockdown to partial and full lockdowns). The results showed a decline in average hourly electricity load during the various post-pandemic periods (compared with pre-pandemic levels) where the magnitude of the decline varied across the hour-of-day and the type of lockdown policy. On average, there was a decline of 9.0 to 14.0 in average hourly load during the post-pandemic period with no curfew policies (compared with pre-pandemic levels). This decline was magnified when lockdown was enforced, leading to a net reduction of up to 16.4, but only when curfew hours coincided with peak load hours (i.e., from noon to sunset). These findings could help policymakers understand the impact of various COVID-19 measures on the demand for electricity, thus equipping them for optimal decision-making.