Individualized prediction of the performance of an article

摘要

An attempt is made to study the relation of the Sedyakin statistical reliability life to the reliability life of a concrete article, in other words, to establish a relationship between the behavior of articles in a group and in an individualized form. A formal mathematical analogy of the two models is established. A physical interpretation of the concept of “residual reliability life” of an article is given. Recommendations for the prediction of the state of an individual article are formulated. The article is published for purposes of discussion.