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Comparative Study of Government Response Measures and Epidemic Trends for COVID-19 Global Pandemic

机译:COVID-19全球大流行政府应对措施与流行趋势的比较研究

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摘要

The ongoing novel coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic has evolved into a full range of challenges that the world is facing. Health and economic threats caused governments to take preventive measures against the spread of the disease. This study aims to provide a correlation analysis of the response measures adopted by countries and epidemic trends since the COVID-19 outbreak. This analysis picks 13 countries for quantitative assessment. We select a trusted model to fit the epidemic trend curves in segments and catch the characteristics based on which we explore the key factors of COVID-19 spread. This review generates a score table of government response measures according to the Likert scale. We use the Delphi method to obtain expert judgments about the government response in the Likert scale. Furthermore, we find a significant negative correlation between the epidemic trend characteristics and the government response measure scores given by experts through correlation analysis. More stringent government response measures correlate with fewer infections and fewer waves in the infection curves. Stringent government response measures curb the spread of COVID-19, limit the number of total infectious cases, and reduce the time to peak of total cases. The clusters of the results categorize the countries into two specific groups. This study will improve our understanding of the prevention of COVID-19 spread and government response.
机译:持续的新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)疫情已经演变成世界面临的一系列挑战。健康和经济威胁促使各国政府采取预防措施防止疾病传播。本研究旨在对自 COVID-19 爆发以来各国采取的应对措施和流行病趋势进行相关性分析。该分析选择13个国家进行定量评估。我们选择一个可信的模型来拟合细分市场的流行趋势曲线,并捕捉特征,据此我们探索 COVID-19 传播的关键因素。本综述根据李克特量表生成政府应对措施评分表。我们使用德尔菲法在李克特量表中获得关于政府反应的专家判断。此外,通过相关性分析,我们发现疫情趋势特征与专家给出的政府应对措施得分之间存在显著的负相关关系。政府采取更严格的应对措施与更少的感染和更少的感染曲线波动相关。政府采取严格的应对措施遏制了COVID-19的传播,限制了感染病例总数,并缩短了总病例达到峰值的时间。结果的聚类将国家分为两组。这项研究将提高我们对预防 COVID-19 传播和政府应对措施的理解。

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