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Availability analysis of shared bikes using abnormal trip data

机译:基于异常行程数据的共享单车可用性分析

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The users' cancelling rental data in the bike-sharing system (BSS) is usually regarded as abnormal trip data and is ignored. Abnormal trip data may have implicit information about the availability of shared bikes. So this paper presents an approach based on functional principal components analysis (FPCA) and clustering to advance the shared-bike availability analysis and maintenance strategy optimization using the abnormal trip data. In the proposed approach, the ratio of the cancelling rental number to the total rental number is scored as an index. Their values reflect a smooth variation in availability. The FPCA method is performed to explore the long-term availability variation modes of shared bikes. Then the dominant modes of availability variations are determined using the k-means algorithm. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is illustrated on the real-world trip data of a BSS. The analysis result indicates that the long-term availability level of the referred BSS has decreased from the initial 0.907 to 0.861. In the definite availability variation modes, the availability of one of the variation modes even has decreased to 0.709. Finally, the preventive maintenance model is presented to prevent the deterioration or availability decrease of shared bikes based on the mean functions of availability variation modes.
机译:用户在共享单车系统(BSS)中取消租赁数据通常被视为异常行程数据,被忽略。异常行程数据可能包含有关共享单车可用性的隐性信息。因此,本文提出了一种基于功能主成分分析(FPCA)和聚类的方法,利用异常行程数据推进共享单车可用性分析和维护策略优化。在所提出的方法中,取消租赁数量与总租赁数量的比率作为指标进行评分。它们的值反映了可用性的平滑变化。采用FPCA方法探究共享单车的长期可用性变化模式。然后,使用k-means算法确定可用性变化的主要模式。BSS的真实行程数据说明了所提方法的有效性。分析结果表明,所引用的BSS的长期可用性水平已从最初的0.907下降到0.861。在确定的可用性变化模式中,其中一种变化模式的可用性甚至下降到 0.709。最后,基于可用性变化模式的均值函数,提出了预防性维护模型,以防止共享单车的劣化或可用性下降。

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